Economic Intelligence

Economic Intelligence

The Weekly Brief

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  • Europe in Stagflation

    Europe in Stagflation

    With inflation forecasts rising and growth forecasts falling in Europe, we can expect the ECB to keep rates elevated.

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  • Recession Probability

    Recession Probability

    Risks of a recession remain elevated in the US, UK, and Europe according to the consensus view.

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  • Employment Keeps Slowing

    Employment Keeps Slowing

    There continues to be downside risks from the Fed hiking rates, including the continued slowdown in employment growth.

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