Is Inflation Coming Back?

Apollo Chief Economist

This week, we got higher CPI, PPI, and retail sales, and the incoming data continues to be strong.

Combined with the observed acceleration in average hourly earnings in recent months, the risks are rising that inflation could begin to move higher again, see charts below and our weekly chart book.

Is inflation coming back?
Source: BLS, Apollo Chief Economist
Is core inflation starting to move higher again?
Source: BEA, Haver Analytics, Apollo Chief Economist
Is wage growth rebounding?
Source: BLS, Haver Analytics, Apollo Chief Economist
Wage growth tracker rebounding?
Source: Indeed Wage Tracker, Haver Analytics, Apollo Chief Economist
Source: Bloomberg, BLS, Apollo Chief Economist

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