Higher Policy Uncertainty Having a Negative Impact on Capital Markets

Apollo Chief Economist

When policy uncertainty went up, capital markets activity started slowing down, with a decline in loan issuance, IPO activity, and M&A activity, see charts below.

When policy uncertainty went up, loan issuance went down
Note: Reflects repricings and extensions done via an amendment process only. Sources: PitchBook LCD, Apollo Chief Economist
When policy uncertainty went up, IPO activity went down
Note: Data shows completed IPO transactions. Sources: S&P Capital IQ, Apollo Chief Economist
When policy uncertainty went up, M&A activity went down
Note: Data shows completed M&A transactions. Sources: S&P Capital IQ, Apollo Chief Economist
IG spreads are disconnected from the economic policy uncertainty index
Sources: Bloomberg, Apollo Chief Economist

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