Mid-Year Outlook for PE

Apollo Chief Economist

Last week, we published our mid-year outlook, it is available here. For private equity, there are three themes:

1. Interest rates will remain higher for longer due to strong near-term growth, deglobalization, the energy transition, increased defense spending, rising Treasury issuance, and US fiscal deficits.

2. With rates higher for longer and growth eventually slowing down, opportunities in private equity will likely continue to emerge among potential distressed companies.

3. Ongoing uncertainty and volatility in the broader market call for a flexible, value-oriented strategy in private equity. Strategies with the ability to invest opportunistically across the capital stack are well-positioned to capitalize on the shifting fortunes of companies seeking financing in these turbulent times.

Our private equity chart book is available here.


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