The Weekly Brief

The Weekly Brief

  • Confidence Rebounding

    Confidence Rebounding

    We’re beginning to see confidence reemerge across a range of indicators. We explore the implications for markets in the Weekly Brief.

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  • Inflation Persistence

    Inflation Persistence

    The risks are rising that inflation may become more persistent, which could keep interest rates higher for longer.

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  • Labor Participation Rising

    Labor Participation Rising

    Increasing labor participation can help further dampen wage inflation, which is welcome news for the Federal Reserve.

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  • Soft Landing Ahead?

    Soft Landing Ahead?

    For every month that inflation ticks lower and the economy holds strong, we get closer to a soft landing scenario.

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  • Economy Slowing Down

    Economy Slowing Down

    Daily and weekly high-frequency indicators are beginning to show signs of weakness in the US economy.

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  • Hawkish Fed Loop

    Hawkish Fed Loop

    As inflation falls, markets may turn bullish, which could result in a slower descent to the Fed’s 2% target.

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  • Wage Inflation Slowing

    Wage Inflation Slowing

    As wage inflation starts to moderate, the Fed may be in a position to be less hawkish in the months ahead. Learn more in the Weekly Brief.

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  • A New Narrative

    A New Narrative

    The story in markets is evolving as we wrap up 2022 and head into the new year.

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  • QT Risks

    QT Risks

    Last week, Producer Price Index (PPI) data showed a decline in inflation, but not as much of a drop as…

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