The Weekly Brief
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Recession Probability
Risks of a recession remain elevated in the US, UK, and Europe according to the consensus view.
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Employment Keeps Slowing
There continues to be downside risks from the Fed hiking rates, including the continued slowdown in employment growth.
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Weekly Brief Returns After Labor Day
The Weekly Brief with our Chief Economist Torsten Slok is taking a summer break during the month of August. We…
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Japan Policy Shift
The Bank of Japan has signaled that it will exit yield curve control. We explore the potential implications of this policy change.
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Higher Jobless Claims
Several leading indicators reveal that jobless claims are on the rise. Learn more in the Weekly Brief.
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Retail Sales Slowing
Weekly data for retail sales has seen a steady decline since the Fed started raising interest rates. We take a closer look in the Weekly Brief.
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Gradual Cooling
The slowdown continues, but it’s not happening as quickly as the Fed would like. Learn more in the Weekly Brief.
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Lower Long Rates?
For the first time in 20 years, the consensus is predicting that long rates will fall. We explore why in the Weekly Brief.
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Higher Home Prices
The housing market is picking up steam, which could put upward pressure on inflation. Learn more in the Weekly Brief.